NASA says chance of asteroid hitting Earth in 2032 is 2.3%
NASA now says there’s a 1.9% chance that a large asteroid will hit Earth in 2032, up from 1.6% yesterday
According to NASA’s Center for Near-Earth Object Studies, there is now a 1.9% chance that a large asteroid could pass close enough to Earth within the next decade to pose a potential threat.
The odds of impact in 2032 have increased from 1.6% yesterday to 1.9% today, translating to a 1 in 53 chance of collision or a 98.1% chance that the asteroid will miss Earth. The asteroid, named 2024 YR4, measures between 130 and 330 feet in diameter. These estimates will likely fluctuate as more data becomes available.
Nasa Asteroid Hitting Earth 2032
NASA update: There’s now a 2.6% chance an asteroid will hit Earth in 2032, up from 2.2% yesterday.
Historical context: The highest risk assessment an asteroid has ever received was 2.7% in 2004. pic.twitter.com/R15j38wZTk
— BNO News Live (@BNODesk) February 18, 2025
NASA officials say the chances of asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth in 2032 have risen from 1.9% to 2.3%
NASA has issued its first-ever Potential Asteroid Impact Notification for the asteroid 2024 YR4. This was in response to the asteroid’s high risk of hitting Earth in 2032.
NASA said last week that there is currently a 2.3% (or 1 in 43) chance that the asteroid, dubbed 2024 YR4, will hit Earth on Dec. 22, 2032. While still tiny, that probability nearly doubled from the agency’s initial estimate of 1.2% in late January.
🚨#BREAKING: NASA now says there’s a 1.9% chance that a large asteroid will hit Earth in 2032, up from 1.6% yesterday
According to NASA’s Center for Near-Earth Object Studies, there is now a 1.9% chance that a large asteroid could pass close enough to… pic.twitter.com/IaDz5AYDKB
— R A W S A L E R T S (@rawsalerts) February 5, 2025